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It would be impossible for the actual number to be known; to arrive at it, you would need a linked-list system that contains the name of every person in the world (or country, or city, or whatever your domain is) along with the names of everybody that person knows.
You could only arrive at it in an artificial environment. The experiment only gives an approximation. It works by our intelligently attempting to deliver the message we are given. i.e., suppose I want to hand a letter to President Bush. Well, as it happens I know someone who knows the U.S. Secretary of State. Me > my friend > Sec. State > President. That's three steps. But there are a lot of people who are that close to me that I don't know are that close to me. I have no idea, for instance, how to go about getting a similar letter to the Governor of Alaska. I couldn't possibly tell you how many steps of separation there are. But...what can be established, and fairly easily, is: how many people does the typical person know? How many friends do you have? How many contacts, whom you could use to deliver a letter? Most of us, here on snopes, are happily integrated into the information economy. So, what, we know maybe 2,000 people each? (My Outlook database goes to 850, and I know it's far from complete.) Maybe 3,000. Call it 2,500 for ease of computation. What's the log of 7 billion to the base 2,500? Around 2.9. So, if everyone's networks had no overlaps and were smoothly blended (like a good pipe tobacco) the entire world's population could be spanned by only three separations. The world's population is, however, clumped. There are overlaps. (But...not all that many. In all of snopes, I only know two members that I had met before joining. One, I recruited; the other found his own way here.) The estimate of 2,500 doesn't really have to be reduced much. Isolation of groups is the big killer. I don't know anyone in Darfur, or Tibet. But the "information age" is a huge counteractant: having a friend in the U.S. foreign service opens a lot of opportunities. (And...everyone in snopes knows someone who knows such a diplomat!) Six steps of separation "feels right." I can't see it requiring much more, on the average, because the most isolated of people are also quite rare. (There might be a few thousand souls whom no one knows: people who live in caves or tents or behind locked doors. Maybe. I don't think that their "degree of separation" should be calculated as "infinite," as that would explode the average to infinity.) Silas |
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- snopes |
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Whether they would do it for you or not is another story.
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The "small world theory," embodied in the old saw that there are just "six degrees of separation" between any two strangers on Earth, has been largely corroborated by a massive study of electronic communication.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...080103718.html |
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At the same time, I'll give you something for W.
__________________
Because in order to sit on the right hand of Jesus, your credit score needs to be above 750. I thought everybody knew that. It's in Revelation somewhere. ~ AnglRdr |
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__________________
Percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding. |
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